Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
l
w
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
4
Win
4
Played
0
Win
29
Age
24
6'6" (198 cm)
Height
-
13
C. Rank
63
1
Best Rank
30
22
Total Titles
0
1
YTD Titles
0
$33.0M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
4
Win
4
Played
0
Win
29
Age
24
6'6" (198 cm)
Height
-
13
C. Rank
63
1
Best Rank
30
22
Total Titles
0
1
YTD Titles
0
$33.0M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Medvedev 4 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 10 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 8 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Medvedev | 4 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 4 H2H Matches:
(R3) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-06-24)
Daniil Medvedev
5
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
7
4
4
(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-27-24)
Daniil Medvedev
2
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
6
4
4
(R2) National Bank Open - Toronto(08-09-23)
Daniil Medvedev
6
7
Matteo Arnaldi
2
5
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $32,984,050 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 70.40% (578-243) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 3 | Hard | 0 |
| 26 | Titles | 6 |
| 4 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 64.06% (41-23) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daniil Medvedev has won 44.79% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daniil Medvedev, in recent form, has won 47.14% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.10% and 25.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Daniil Medvedev has saved 59.41% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Daniil Medvedev has won 63.64% of matches played (W/L 42/24), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Daniil Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 267/91), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 75% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Daniil Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.70% of matches (W/L 23/10), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Daniil Medvedev winning 4 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 8 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2.
- The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:26.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daniil Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 57.83 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.22.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daniil Medvedev has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Daniil Medvedev has converted 30.05% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 4 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 8 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 56 | Games Won | 42 |
| 28 | Aces (Total) | 20 |
| 19 | Total Double Faults | 11 |
| 1:56:26 | Average Match Time | 1:56:26 |
| 65% (203/314) | 1st Serve % | 60% (197/326) |
| 75% (152/203) | 1st Serve Win % | 66% (130/197) |
| 53% (59/111) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (64/129) |
| 38% (12/32) | Break Pts Won % | 31% (5/16) |
| 40% (132/326) | Return Points Win % | 33% (103/314) |
| 100% (4/4) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/4) |
| 100% (2/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/2) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/2) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Medvedev 49%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Medvedev 53%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Medvedev 60%, Arnaldi 65%.
D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
QF  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 2-6 6-3 7-6(5) | ||
R3 Lorenzo SonegoL. Sonego | W | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 | ||
R2  Grigor DimitrovG. Dimitrov | W | w/o | ||
R1  Jaume Antoni Munar ClarJ. Antoni | W | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Corentin MoutetC. Moutet | L | 7-6(3) 6-4 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3  Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.40% (578/243) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 65.95% (1356/700) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 55.60% (10945/8741) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 74.58% (267/91) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 64.38% (94/52) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 68.12% (156/73) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 69.32% (61/27) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.57 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 5548 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.28 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 2659 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:34:45 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 340.84 | Average Opponent Rank | 302.44 |
| 61% (33648/55201) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 75% (25219/33648) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 51% (10966/21546) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 43% (2449/5718) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 40% (22811/57170) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 72.22% (91/35) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 67.57% (125/60) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 76.92% (20/6) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 72.06% (196/76) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 52.17% (12/11) | Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 68.75% (55/25) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 72.55% (74/28) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 71% (485/685) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 69% (88/127) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 56% (168/299) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 62% (145/235) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 90% (533/481) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 10% (533/51) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 33% (287/96) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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