Prediction of Daniil Medvedev [9th] vs Matteo Arnaldi [42nd] Head-to-Head At The 1970
By Wojtek Kolan

Form
L W W W W L L W W L
Form
W L L W W L W L L LH2H: Medvedev 4 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 10 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 8 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Medvedev and Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Third, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
---|---|
Daniil Medvedev | 4 |
Matteo Arnaldi | 0 |
Medvedev | Stats | Arnaldi |
---|---|---|
64% (14-8) | YTD Win/Loss | 47% (8-9) |
4 | Head-to-Head | 0 |
9 | Ranking | 42 |
1 | Highest Rank | 30 |
29 | Age | 24 |
R | Plays | - |
25 | Titles | 6 |
71% (551-228) | Career Total W/L | 61% (224-143) |
$31,831,320 | Career Prize Money | $2,239,275 |
0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
3 | Hard H2H | 0 |
1 | Clay H2H | 0 |
0 | Indoor H2H | 0 |
0 | Grass H2H | 0 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-7 6-4 6-4 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
65%
(
71 of
110)
1st Serve %
73%
(
77 of
106)
10
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
2
69%
(
49 of
71)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
49 of
77)
46%
(
18 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
39%
(
43 of
110)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
42 of
106)
109
Total Points Won
107
|
||||
2-6 6-4 6-4 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
52 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
51 of
89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83%
(
43 of
52)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
37 of
51)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
19 of
38)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
28%
(
23 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
33 of
89)
91
Total Points Won
79
|
||||
6-2 7-5 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
70%
(
43 of
61)
1st Serve %
48%
(
32 of
67)
9
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
21 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
18 of
35)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
30%
(
18 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
28 of
67)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
6-4 6-2 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
37 of
62)
1st Serve %
58%
(
37 of
64)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
29 of
37)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
56%
(
14 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
12 of
27)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
31%
(
19 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
29 of
64)
72
Total Points Won
54
|
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
4 | H2H Matches | 0 |
8 | Sets Won | 2 |
56 | Games Won | 42 |
28 | Aces (Total) | 20 |
19 | Total Double Faults | 11 |
1:56:26 | Average Match Time | 1:56:26 |
65% (203/314) | 1st Serve % | 60% (197/326) |
75% (152/203) | 1st Serve Win % | 66% (130/197) |
53% (59/111) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (64/129) |
38% (12/32) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 31% (5/16) |
40% (132/326) | Return Points Win % | 33% (103/314) |
100% (4/4) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 0% (0/4) |
0% (0/0) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/0) |
0% (0/0) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 0% (0/0) |
100% (2/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/2) |
100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (2/0) |
0% (2/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 100% (2/2) |
100% (2/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (2/0) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Medvedev 4 - 0 Arnaldi
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Medvedev has won 42.96% of points on their second serve, while Arnaldi has won 49.09%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Medvedev, in recent form, has won 46.72% of their opponent's second serve points, while Arnaldi has won 42.56%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.09% and 26.81% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Medvedev has saved 55.41% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Arnaldi has saved 54.86% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Medvedev has won 63.08% of matches played (W/L 41/ 24), with Arnaldi winning 49.02% (W/L 25/ 26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 256/ 84), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 90/ 49). Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 125/ 66), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25).
- Player level: In the last year, Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 60.87% of matches (W/L 14/ 9), where as Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Medvedev winning 4 times and Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Medvedev winning 8 and Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Medvedev and Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Third, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:26.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Medvedev and Arnaldi have played a deciding set 2 times, with Medvedev winning 2 times and Arnaldi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Medvedev winning 0, and Arnaldi 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 152.12 while Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 127.06.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Medvedev has won 58% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Arnaldi has won 40% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Medvedev has converted 33.11% of breakpoint opportunities, and Arnaldi has converted 28.81% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Odds For The Match
Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played
Before:
OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R3 |
![]() ![]()
Alex De Minaur
Player
Daniil Medvedev
52%
(
24 of
46)
1st Serve %
56%
(
29 of
52)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
58%
(
14 of
24)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
55%
(
12 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
6 of
23)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
43%
(
20 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
59
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
R2 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alexandre Muller
56%
(
58 of
103)
1st Serve %
57%
(
69 of
122)
7
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
4
72%
(
42 of
58)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
42 of
69)
42%
(
19 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
26 of
53)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
41%
(
42 of
103)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
54 of
122)
115
Total Points Won
110
|
7-6(6) 5-7 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Karen Khachanov
50%
(
48 of
96)
1st Serve %
71%
(
85 of
119)
4
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
44 of
85)
33%
(
16 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
13 of
34)
45%
(
9 of
20)
Break Points Won
50%
(
8 of
16)
47%
(
45 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
62 of
119)
113
Total Points Won
102
|
7-5 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
![]() ![]()
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
Player
Daniil Medvedev
58%
(
31 of
53)
1st Serve %
58%
(
31 of
53)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
4
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
26%
(
14 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
24 of
53)
63
Total Points Won
43
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
SF |
![]() ![]()
Holger Rune
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67%
(
47 of
70)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
61%
(
14 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
22 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
24 of
60)
72
Total Points Won
58
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Arthur Fils
61%
(
54 of
88)
1st Serve %
58%
(
61 of
106)
5
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
7
63%
(
34 of
54)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
45 of
61)
74%
(
25 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
33%
(
29 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
40 of
106)
99
Total Points Won
95
|
6-4 2-6 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
R4 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
61%
(
31 of
51)
1st Serve %
67%
(
37 of
55)
8
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
71%
(
22 of
31)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
19 of
37)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
39%
(
20 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
31 of
55)
62
Total Points Won
44
|
6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
R3 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Alex Michelsen
80%
(
4 of
5)
1st Serve %
43%
(
3 of
7)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
1
75%
(
3 of
4)
1st Serve Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
100%
(
1 of
1)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
100%
(
1 of
1)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
20%
(
1 of
5)
Rtn Points Won
71%
(
5 of
7)
9
Total Points Won
3
|
2-0 ret. | H2H | ||
R2 |
![]() ![]()
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Bu Yunchaokete
40%
(
21 of
52)
1st Serve %
47%
(
29 of
62)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
90%
(
19 of
21)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
18 of
29)
45%
(
14 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
12 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
37%
(
19 of
52)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
32 of
62)
65
Total Points Won
49
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
QF |
![]() ![]()
Tallon Griekspoor
Player
Daniil Medvedev
72%
(
81 of
112)
1st Serve %
72%
(
78 of
109)
5
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
4
68%
(
55 of
81)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
55 of
78)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
21%
(
3 of
14)
37%
(
41 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
35 of
109)
106
Total Points Won
115
|
2-6 7-6(7) 7-5 | H2H |
view more
Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
Before:
OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Sebastian Korda
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
69%
(
52 of
75)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
69%
(
36 of
52)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
29 of
46)
65%
(
15 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
16 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
32%
(
24 of
75)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
80
Total Points Won
69
|
3-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Richard Gasquet
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
48%
(
48 of
99)
1st Serve %
53%
(
50 of
95)
1
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
34 of
50)
57%
(
29 of
51)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
36%
(
36 of
99)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
40 of
95)
103
Total Points Won
91
|
6-3 4-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
![]() ![]()
Tomas Machac
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
69%
(
53 of
77)
1st Serve %
61%
(
45 of
74)
5
Aces
6
6
Double Faults
3
68%
(
36 of
53)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
29 of
45)
54%
(
13 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
36%
(
28 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
30 of
74)
79
Total Points Won
72
|
6-2 1-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Yibing Wu
55%
(
50 of
91)
1st Serve %
74%
(
84 of
114)
16
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
82%
(
41 of
50)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
56 of
84)
59%
(
24 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
17%
(
2 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
29%
(
26 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
43 of
114)
108
Total Points Won
97
|
7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
R3 |
![]() ![]()
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60%
(
27 of
45)
1st Serve %
57%
(
32 of
56)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
89%
(
24 of
27)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
72%
(
13 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
9 of
24)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
18%
(
8 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
24 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
![]() ![]()
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Andrey Rublev
43%
(
30 of
70)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
5
57%
(
17 of
30)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
55%
(
22 of
40)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
44%
(
31 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
31 of
61)
70
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
58%
(
61 of
106)
1st Serve %
58%
(
53 of
92)
7
Aces
5
6
Double Faults
1
67%
(
41 of
61)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
37 of
53)
53%
(
24 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
39%
(
41 of
106)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
36 of
92)
101
Total Points Won
97
|
6-3 5-7 6-4 | H2H | ||
R1 |
![]() ![]()
Alexander Zverev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64%
(
63 of
98)
1st Serve %
64%
(
55 of
86)
8
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
78%
(
49 of
63)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
43 of
55)
60%
(
21 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
61%
(
19 of
31)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
29%
(
28 of
98)
Rtn Points Won
28%
(
24 of
86)
94
Total Points Won
90
|
6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
SF |
![]() ![]()
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
62%
(
41 of
66)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
2
68%
(
28 of
41)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
20 of
31)
48%
(
12 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
39%
(
26 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
63)
68
Total Points Won
61
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
![]() ![]()
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Brandon Nakashima
57%
(
34 of
60)
1st Serve %
69%
(
47 of
68)
8
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
33 of
47)
81%
(
21 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
11 of
21)
50%
(
1 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
24 of
68)
72
Total Points Won
56
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H |
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Where To Watch Medvedev vs Arnaldi?
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
71% (551/228) | Win/Loss | 61% (224/143) |
66% (1290/659) | Sets Win/Loss | 59% (522/363) |
56% (10357/8252) | Games Win/Loss | 53% (4436/3939) |
0.57 | Aces Per Game | 0.35 |
5166 | Aces Total | 1419 |
0.27 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
2461 | Total Double Faults | 1021 |
1:33:26 | Average Match Time | 1:43:35 |
121.45 | Average Opponent Rank | 234.94 |
61% (31609/51932) | 1st Serve % | 59% (14912/25248) |
75% (23654/31609) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (10160/14912) |
51% (10361/20316) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5185/10331) |
43% (2322/5367) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1085/2510) |
40% (21457/53665) | Return Points Win % | 40% (9950/24709) |
71% (458/647) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 62% (209/339) |
72% (88/123) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 46% (11/24) |
57% (159/278) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 57% (67/118) |
63% (137/219) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (62/122) |
91% (503/458) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (227/189) |
9% (503/44) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (227/38) |
33% (275/92) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (139/33) |
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