Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

4

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'6" (198 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$32.2M

Career Money

$2.4M

Right-Handed

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

4

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'6" (198 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$32.2M

Career Money

$2.4M

Right-Handed

Plays

Head-To-Head: Medvedev 4 - 0 Arnaldi

They have played 10 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 8 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Medvedev	4
Arnaldi	0

Last H2H Matches:

(R3) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-06-24)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-27-24)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

(R2) National Bank Open - Toronto(08-09-23)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi

D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

D. Medvedev	Stats	M. Arnaldi
$32,235,955	Career Prize Money	$2,448,680
70.24% (564-239)	Career Total W/L	60.15% (234-155)
1	Clay	0
3	Hard	0
25	Titles	6
4	Total H2H Matches	0
58.70% (27-19)	YTD Win/Loss	46.15% (18-21)

D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daniil Medvedev has won 44.54% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.56%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daniil Medvedev, in recent form, has won 46.71% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.08%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.32% and 26.38% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Daniil Medvedev has saved 58.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 58.88% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Daniil Medvedev has won 57.63% of matches played (W/L 34/ 25), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 43.18% (W/L 34/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Daniil Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 260/ 89), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/ 52). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/ 70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25).
Player level: In the last year, Daniil Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 18/ 9), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 42.86% of matches (W/L 9/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Daniil Medvedev winning 4 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 8 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:26.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daniil Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 56.29 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 56.02.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daniil Medvedev has won 48% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 45% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Daniil Medvedev has converted 34.25% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 24.85% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

D. Medvedev	Stats	M. Arnaldi
4	H2H Matches Won	0
8	Sets Won	2
56	Games Won	42
28	Aces (Total)	20
19	Total Double Faults	11
1:56:26	Avg. Match Time	1:56:26
65% (203/314)	1st Serve %	60% (197/326)
75% (152/203)	1st Serve Win %	66% (130/197)
53% (59/111)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (64/129)
38% (12/32)	Break Pts Won %	31% (5/16)
40% (132/326)	Return Pts Won %	33% (103/314)
100% (4/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	0% (0/4)
100% (2/2)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Won → Match Won	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	100% (2/2)
100% (2/2)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou - 15-09-2025
QF Yibing WuY. Wu	L	5-7 7-6(5) 6-4	Stats
R2 Nishesh BasavareddyN. Basavareddy	W	6-2 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Benjamin BonziB. Bonzi	L	6-3 7-5 6-7(5) 0-6 6-4	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R2 Adam WaltonA. Walton	L	6-7(0) 6-4 6-1	Stats
National Bank Open - Toronto - 28-07-2025
R3 Alexei PopyrinA. Popyrin	L	5-7 6-4 6-4	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou - 15-09-2025
R1 Arthur CazauxA. Cazaux	L	6-4 3-6 7-5	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Francisco CerundoloF. Cerundolo	L	3-6 2-6 7-5 6-4 6-3	Stats
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem - 18-08-2025
R2 Botic Van De ZandschulpB. Van	L	6-3 6-3	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R1 Benjamin BonziB. Bonzi	L	6-7(1) 6-3 6-4	Stats
National Bank Open - Toronto - 28-07-2025
R3 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-7(5) 6-3 6-2	Stats

View All

D. Medvedev vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Medvedev	Stats	M. Arnaldi
70.24% (564/239)	YTD Win/Loss	60.15% (234/155)
65.85% (1325/687)	Sets Win/Loss	58.10% (549/396)
55.58% (10696/8549)	Games Win/Loss	52.66% (4727/4250)
74.50% (260/89)	Hard Win/Loss	61.03% (83/53)
64.38% (94/52)	Clay Win/Loss	65.35% (132/70)
67.73% (149/71)	Indoor Hard W/L	36.59% (15/26)
69.32% (61/27)	Grass Win/Loss	40.00% (4/6)
0.57	Aces Per Game	0.35
5396	Aces Total	1557
0.27	Double Faults Per Game	0.25
2579	Total Double Faults	1100
1:34:15	Average Match Time	1:45:38
336.3	Average Opponent Rank	300.71
61% (32794/53864)	1st Serve %	59% (16021/27262)
75% (24564/32794)	1st Serve Win %	68% (10948/16021)
51% (10735/21063)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (5639/11236)
43% (2389/5569)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (1134/2656)
40% (22211/55712)	Return Points Win %	40% (10615/26616)
72.22% (91/35)	Slam W/L	56.25% (18/14)
67.23% (119/58)	Masters W/L	55.56% (30/24)
76.92% (20/6)	Cups W/L	80.00% (4/1)
71.76% (188/74)	Main Tour W/L	47.62% (30/33)
52.17% (12/11)	Tour Finals W/L	0% (0/0)
68.75% (55/25)	Challenger W/L	59.84% (73/49)
72.55% (74/28)	Futures W/L	70.27% (78/33)
71% (471/668)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (218/357)
70% (88/126)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	43% (12/28)
57% (164/290)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (72/126)
61% (140/228)	Deciding Set Win %	51% (67/131)
91% (518/469)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (236/195)
9% (518/48)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (236/41)
33% (284/94)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	24% (152/37)